India’s Rise: A Game-Changing Move at the G20 Summit

Republished with full copyright permissions from The Washington Daily Chronicle.

The recent Group of 20 (G20) Summit held in New Delhi saw Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, alongside the United States and Europe, strategically counter China’s influence on the global stage. With other G20 nations commending India’s success in reaching key agreements and consensus on critical issues, India’s rising power and ability to challenge China’s dominance were recognized.

The Power of Consensus:

Despite initial uncertainty, the G20 leaders successfully achieved consensus on crucial matters, including addressing Russia’s involvement in the conflict with Ukraine. The agreement also acknowledged the African Union as a full G20 member and took steps toward prioritizing emerging market concerns such as climate change and debt sustainability. While the compromise on war language irked Ukraine, the United States and its allies valued India’s win as a reinforcement of its rising power to counterbalance China’s global influence.

US-India Partnership: A Key to Isolating China and Russia:

U.S. President Joe Biden recognized India’s potential to isolate China and Russia, leading efforts to strengthen ties between the two countries. His administration’s emphasis on India clearly indicated a desire to create a united front against these global powers, while also revitalizing the U.S.-led world order. This move highlighted Washington’s growing understanding of the significance of the Global South, with India serving as its principal guide.

Building Alliances and Influencing the Global South:

The G20 Summit showcased India’s ability to form crucial alliances, as demonstrated by the meeting involving President Biden, Prime Minister Modi, and key members of the BRICS grouping (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) excluding China and Russia. This strategic bloc expansion posed a challenge to the G7 advanced economies. Furthermore, the U.S. and India announced a groundbreaking rail and maritime network deal with the European Union, Middle Eastern countries, and others—a move intended to provide healthy competition to China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

India’s Leadership and China’s Retreat:

Chinese President Xi Jinping’s absence at the G20 Summit, marking the first time since assuming office, revealed a shift in behavior. China’s focus on disputing India’s progress, even on minor issues, appeared petty and self-defeating. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni also conveyed her nation’s intention to withdraw from the BRI while maintaining friendly relations with China, indicating a blow to Beijing’s ambitions. With China’s absence and lack of influence, India solidified its leadership in the Global South, allowing the U.S. and Europe a clear pathway to strengthen ties with emerging markets.

The Path Ahead:

The G20 Summit showcased India’s growing stature and global leadership potential. Prime Minister Modi’s assertion that “history has been created” resonated, emphasizing India’s capacity to bring the world together on developmental and geopolitical issues. As India extends its influence and establishes itself as a trustworthy fulcrum amid a divided world, middle-order powers are committed to maintaining a multipolar global economic order—contrasting China’s efforts to dominate it.

The G20 Summit marked a pivotal moment for India as it successfully counterbalanced China’s influence and asserted its global leadership. Through skillful diplomacy, Prime Minister Modi, along with the support of the U.S. and Europe, achieved consensus on critical geopolitical issues, amplifying the voice of the Global South. Going forward, India’s rising power is set to reshape the global order, opening new opportunities for partnerships, alliances, and development on the world stage.

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